PHNO-TL: STARWEEK: SECURING THE FUTURE OF THE FILIPINO FAMILY


 



STARWEEK: SECURING THE FUTURE OF THE FILIPINO FAMILY


MANILA, FEBRUARY 28, 2011 (STARweek) By Don Jaucian - Villa Beatriz in Old Balara, Quezon City is the typical Manila community: houses are stacked against each other you could almost hear them groaning under their weights, numerous sari-sari stores are located within a meter of each other, and a steady stream of water is going downhill from the wash basins of several housewives who are doing the day's batch of laundry. Out in the streets kids are playing, occasionally dispersed by the passing tricycle and the stray dog looking for something to eat.

Such sight has been a common occurrence in Manila's depressed communities. But in a tiny street in Villa Beatriz, a narrow three-storey structure is livelier than the others, apparent with sounds of mechanical clanging and the buzz of machines. This structure is the home of the Pipe Retreading Livelihood Project of the Alitaptap Multi-Purpose Cooperative, headed by Romy Escober, who overlooks the proceedings, even carrying on with the work himself. His other workers are busying themselves with their respective taks: fitting protective caps, pipes and tubes. For a narrow space, it seems bursting with an enthusiastic air, something that Romy also possesses.

Romy gamely gives us a tour of the facilities, which started operations in 2006. The first floor is the main working area for 14 workers, all of whom are from Villa Beatriz. A narrow spiral stairway leads up to the second floor, which houses Romy's office and the meeting area for the six staffers working hard to maintain the cooperative, as well as the rooftop where they conduct trainings and small gatherings. "You can see the Sierra Madre from up here," Romy enthuses. And there it is, the sprawling Sierra Madre Mountains, which appear like they're just within short reach from where we were standing.

The humid weather and the narrow space couldn't confine Romy's eagerness to talk about their cooperative. "It has brought in a big change in our lives, not just for our family but also for our entire community," Escober said. "This all started with Manila Water's water provision project in our community and we're very thankful that they have given us these opportunities that have helped us grow and develop."

Multiple benefits

[PHOTO - Happy faces: The benefits Manila Water's initiatives have brought may be reflected in these children's expression.]

Lolita Escober, 52, watches her husband work at a certain distance. She notes that Romy has been more active and inspired since his work in the cooperative began. "Now that my husband is busy with his work in the cooperative, I have more time to tend to my sari-sari store so we'll have another source of income."

Like any housewife in their community, Lolita wants to make use of her free time wisely. Now that their two kids are all grown up (one is in college and her eldest son finished Electronic Communications Engineering and already works in Laguna), she has more time to find alternative means of income and not just spend her entire day doing household chores while waiting for her family to come home. These days, she keeps herself busy with her sari-sari store which also helps her interact more with the people in their community.

The sari-sari store, in its small and humble form, reflects the core needs of the community. It is a small store, mostly a shack, lined with some of the basic commodities that the Filipino family needs on short notice such as sugar, salt, canned goods, fruits, biscuits, and toiletries. It's no wonder that the smallest community has enough sari-sari stores to cater to the needs of everyone, including nearby communities as well. Like in Lolita's case, it is a quick way to earn more money now that she has more time to spare to adequately manage her business.

Lolita is thankful for Manila Water's 24/7 provision of clean and safe water for Villa Beatriz. "We have more time to tend to our families and we save more money because we don't have to wait and fall in line and buy water like we used to," she said.

Manila Water's aggressive programs in reducing non-revenue water (the water lost to illegal connections and physical reasons such as faulty pipes) have led to drastic reduction of systems losses from 63 percent down to 12 percent. This change has enabled the company to launch its flagship program Tubig Para Sa Barangay (TPSB), of which Villa Beatriz is a beneficiary. This program aims to provide safe and round-the-clock water, eliminating the people's need to buy expensive water from private providers, lining up under the harsh heat of the sun for several drums or pails of water (which they have to carry back to their houses) and enabling them to save up on their expenses.

That's probably the most telling of all benefits a low-income community like Villa Beatriz is getting from Manila Water's TPSB program. You see, people used to pay P25 per drum of water that they bought from private vendors, whose safety they couldn't even be assured of. That would translate to P125 per cubic meter as a cubic meter is equivalent to five drums. Nowadays, however, and even with the supposed adjustment in water rates, people have to pay only P7 per cubic meter of assuredly safe, clean and potable water.

[PHOTO - A typical family in Villa Beatriz like that of Romy and Lolita Escober can now attend to other chores with the programs Manila Water initiated in their community.

"Some of these communities resorted to illegal connections so we thought of a way that would resolve this issue. With the TPSB, the bill is shouldered by the entire community. The connection fee can be paid in installment so it won't be too hard for these families," Manila Water's Sustainable Development OIC Joyce Talag said.

Lolita can attest to the fact that the Tubig Para sa Barangay has brought a sweeping change for their family and their community. "We no longer worry about our water being unsafe and it helps us save more money for other important expenses. It has also lessened our worries when it comes to the health of our families."

Lolita shared that she and Romy were much more concerned with the quality of water that they used to get and how safe it was for their family to drink. But with Manila Water's water provision, they both can sleep well at night. "Just in cases of emergency, we have money for emergency expenses and we don't have to worry where and how to get money especially when we need it most," Lolita said.

Tending to the children's needs

As the day progresses, Villa Beatriz's children come home from school carrying school bags bulging with notebooks, books and other school supplies. Their uniforms sometimes are stained with dirt from having to walk home. These days, these children have much more reasons to smile now that their parents have a steadier means of income.

"Our parents no longer worry about money for our food and school needs. We also have cleaner clothes so we're less shy going to school," said Jocel Ucol, a student from Villa Beatriz who studies at the Old Balara Elementary School. "Our mom has more time to spend with us and help us in or school work."

[PHOTO -Teaching a young one: Romy shows a tyke how it is done].

The Old Balara Elementary School is a recipient of the "Lingap Eskwela" Program of Manila Water. Manila Water's Lingap Program provides water for different public institutions such as schools, hospitals and jails. In the case of Jocel's school, OBEC, it now has drinking fountains and running water which the school uses to maintain the institution and its constituents' needs. The Lingap Program includes a sanitation component which gives the students a healthier environment to grow in, lessening the incidences of water-borne diseases such as diarrhea and typhoid fever.

"Before, we had to buy bottled water which takes up most of our baon," Jocel explains. "Now that we have clean drinking water in our school, we can buy more food and even save money."

The Lingap Program has already helped 300 public institutions with around 5.1 million beneficiaries.

Manila Water also makes part of these water provision services an ample education component, arming students as well as different stakeholders with the right knowledge so they become socially responsible citizens. With this thrust, the company has launched the "Lakbayan" Program that gives people an opportunity to tour its facilities as well as receive lectures on water safety, sanitation and environmental issues.

Educating doesn't just stop there. Manila Water uses every kind of media possible to get to its customers. "Manila Water's customers always receive something educational when they get their bills," explains Manila Water's customer service manager Amy Pineda. "We print different tips in our billing statements such as how to take care of your water system or ways on how to be more environment friendly."

This way, Pineda says, students like Jocel as well as housewives like Lolita are more aware of the things that they have to do to maintain their water system and help contribute to sustaining the important services that keep their lives going.

[PHOTO - Young students in Villa Beatriz are also assured of safe water with Manila Water's Lingap Eskwela Program.

Steadier livelihood

Romy is still amazed as to how the simple provision of water has changed the lives of everyone in their community. In his 30-year stay in Villa Beatriz, these sweeping signals of change have been certainly more than encouraging.

For Romy, however, the road to success wasn't a smooth ride. Before getting the grant for their cooperative, Romy had to juggle several unsuccessful jobs and entrepreneurial ventures. "The opportunity given by Manila Water opened a lot (of windows) for my family and our community. I was able to send my son to college and help my wife in her sari-sari store. But more importantly, I was able to help a lot of families in our community," Escober shared.

"I am glad that I have been given the chance to help these people, especially the out-of-school youth, so they can realize the dignity of labor and be a contributing member towards the development of our community," Escober said.

The workers of Alitaptap Cooperative are trained by Manila Water to ensure that they meet the standards of quality set by the company. After all, Manila Water will be the one utilizing the products that such a cooperative produces. In their narrow workplace, these men work hard to maintain the quality of their products to prove that they are worthy of the opportunity that they have been given.

Other partner cooperatives of Manila Water under their livelihood program also produce several products for the company, including printouts of billing statements, t-shirts and corporate giveaways. The program has so far yielded P25 million worth of job orders.

The Alitaptap Multi-Purpose Cooperative in Villa Beatriz supplies some of the pipes used in Manila Water projects like this. Securing the future

Villa Beatriz is only one of the communities that Manila Water services in the East Zone, the area which the company covers under the concession agreement it signed with the government agency Metropolitan Waterworks and Sewerage System in 1997. Now under the helm of its president, Gerardo Ablaza Jr., Manila Water envisions more Villa Beatrizes in the future: a thriving community with steadier means of livelihood and families that are more closely knit because they have more time for each other. Targeting a holistic development, the company aims to transcend its status as mere providers of water and sewer services.

[PHOTO- The Alitaptap Multi-Purpose Cooperative in Villa Beatriz]

The company, after all, has carried on with its strong success throughout its 14 years of service by taking on the principle of serving not only for profit but also for caring for the people and the planet.

"We have several projects lined up that will further strengthen our services to the residents under our Central Distribution System," corporate communications manager Jeric Sevilla Jr. says. We are committed to providing service that not only addresses the primary needs of our customers but also extends multiple benefits to them, not just water provision, thereby securing a brighter future for succeeding generations."

For Manila Water, indeed, serving its customers has transcended the traditional way of providing water and sewer services; it has brought it to a realm no other similar service company had probably thought of in the past. And such communities like Villa Beatriz can only be thankful about it.

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Chief News Editor: Sol Jose Vanzi

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PHNO-OPINION: STAR: SEAL OF GOOD HOUSEKEEPNG


 



STAR: SEAL OF GOOD HOUSEKEEPNG

MANILA, FEBRUARY 28, 2011 (STAR) SKETCHES By Ana Marie Pamintuan - They have different "working styles," President Aquino said in describing his differences with the man who heads the Department of the Interior and Local Government. And one day he may pick someone else as DILG chief.

Secretary Jesse Robredo shrugs off this uncertainty in his Cabinet appointment. His hold on the DILG post seems tenuous; he is one of two Cabinet members (the other is Environment Secretary Ramon Paje) still not nominated by P-Noy to the Commission on Appointments (CA) for confirmation.

The situation is unfortunate because the DILG has supervision over the government units that are directly in charge of delivering basic services to the public.

After the hostage fiasco in August last year, there were rumors that Robredo would either be fired or asked to resign. Robredo received no word from P-Noy, who simply groused later about their differences in working styles. Robredo stayed put, pointing out that it's his deputy, Rico Puno, who's supposed to be in charge of the "interior" part of the DILG.

P-Noy then sent Puno (not the singer, although the singer might do a better job) to the US Federal Bureau of Investigation for a crash course on police work. Aren't these programs supposed to be for regular police officers?

And in what is seen as a roundabout way of expressing his displeasure over his DILG chief, P-Noy has sat on Robredo's nomination to the CA.

If P-Noy prefers to wait for Robredo to quit, he may have to sit on the nomination for a long time.

* * *

Robredo has plunged into the job – the "local government" (and informal settlers) part of the DILG – with the same zeal that he displayed when he was mayor of Naga City.

"I'm comfortable with this setup," Robredo told us when he dropped by The STAR last week.

Last year he launched a system that he hopes will pave the way for long-term transparency and accountability in local government units (LGUs).

He issued a circular requiring full disclosure by LGUs of all bids, budgets and quarterly statements of financial operations covering all projects, and not just those costing P50 million or more. All the details must be posted on the Internet for easy counterchecking by anyone interested.

Robredo wants all LGUs to become like Naga under his watch, when even the price of paracetamol purchased by health centers was posted on the city's website.

LGUs that comply with the circular get a "seal of good housekeeping" that will give them priority in the allocation of resources by the DILG.

Of about 80 provinces, 20 fully complied by yearend with the circular on full disclosure. Thirty cities also fully complied, with 20 others achieving partial compliance.

A P500-million "Performance Challenge Fund" was set up for LGUs that received the seal of good housekeeping. It initially targeted fourth-, fifth- and sixth-class municipalities. Among those that received the seal was Datu Paglas in Maguindanao.

The results were so encouraging that the system is now part of budgeting requirements under the 2011 General Appropriations Act. This means LGUs that fail to comply with the full disclosure requirement can be sued by the DILG for violating the GAA.

Robredo said the Performance Challenge Fund was initially taken from the personnel (or personal) services appropriation of the DILG – the same "PS" diverted to personal bank accounts in the military. Last year the P396 million released (on time) to 110,000 Philippine National Police personnel for their Christmas bonus was taken from the PNP's PS.

Robredo can honestly claim to have walked into the PS system, whose loopholes for fund "conversion" he has plugged. PNP funds are now released directly to police stations, which must post their detailed expenditures on the PNP website. Under the 2011 GAA, each cop gets a 55 percent increase in funding allocation.

This year the Performance Challenge Fund will likely be sourced from the road user's tax, from which the DILG gets an annual share of about P3 billion.

If supervision over the conditional cash transfers is turned over by the social welfare department to LGUs (sure to be opposed by the World Bank), only LGUs with the seal of good housekeeping will be allowed to take over.

* * *

While it's Puno who's in charge of the PNP, the DILG secretary is ex officio chair of the National Police Commission. In this capacity, Robredo has a say in the system of assignment and promotion in the PNP, which he wants insulated from politics.

He is aware that local government executives in fact want more control over the local police. As a compromise, Robredo said if he receives a request from a mayor affecting the assignment or promotion of a certain police officer, he would agree, but only if the cop deserves it, or if the request is "within the zone of consideration."

Robredo is also working indirectly to confront the jueteng problem. The anti-jueteng campaign has been derailed by allegations that Puno himself is protecting a certain powerful bloc in the illegal gambling industry.

Two options are being considered. One is to make small-town lottery a bettor-driven, viable alternative to jueteng. Another is to make the Philippine Charity Sweepstakes Office get its share of STL earnings based on presumptive sales, with absolute amounts collected instead of percentage sharing. Notorious jueteng lords will not be allowed to operate STL, which is being used as a legal cover for jueteng.

* * *

There was no direct evidence presented in the recent jueteng controversy against Puno, with whom Robredo swears he is "seeing more than eye to eye."

I asked Robredo if he is worried that people whose "livelihoods" are threatened by his reforms would stage a revolt.

"It's OK. I think if there is change there must be a revolution… How do you change a system that you have walked into without triggering a revolt? That is the challenge," he replied. "It's not an easy job."

He emphasized that his reforms target systems rather than the personalities behind the systems.

I asked him what he thought of P-Noy's hesitation to nominate him to the CA.

He recalled that as a member of the Liberal Party's 2010 campaign team, he was put in charge of the scheduling of LP standard-bearer Noynoy Aquino's sorties.

Being an advocate of "maximum reach, maximum meetings," Robredo packed the schedule because he said he wanted to "maximize the use of (Noynoy's) time." The candidate was not pleased.

Robredo said that from the start he never thought he would stay long in his post. "I'll just do what I have to do," he said.

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PHNO-OPINION: MALAYA: EDSA ON MY MIND


 



MALAYA: EDSA ON MY MIND

MANILA, FEBRUARY 28, 2011 (STAR) JB BAYLON - 'The fall of Marcos should tell us that unless a President is able to institute deep-rooted change in the political and economic system, the elite will be able to return once the President's grip loosens.' IT'S been 25 years since my very first EDSA People Power experience – and that 1986 experience – what some call "EDSA Uno" has been my only one.

I wasn't at EDSA in January 2001. I wasn't at EDSA in May also of that year. And while I have been at EDSA almost every day of my life between February 1986 and February 2011, it is almost always as a commuter, not as a participant in a political event. Just like millions of others.

I was at EDSA Uno primarily because I felt that having an individual in power for 20+ years was not good. Not good for the political system that, like a machine, should constantly be on the move. I didn't share the anger of the radical Left for the US-Marcos dictatorship; nor did I share the personal tragedy of the families of the "desaparecidos" whose loved ones protested today and disappeared tomorrow. And neither did I come from a family whose wealth was suddenly gone, our companies taken over by the Marcos cronies. I was a political science graduate at that time, new in law school, son of two simple-living professors of the State U who saw things from my own perspective, and that perspective told me that when leadership change ground to a halt then the process, like a machine unused, slowly deteriorates.

That Ferdinand Marcos at that time was sick hastened the deterioration, and opened us up to a power struggle between various factions of the ruling elite – from the Vice President-elect to the First Lady to the Defense Minister to the Armed Forces chief.

This is why when I see Libyans and Egyptians hold up placards saying "30 years is enough", I can relate. The State could hold regular elections, and the elections could afford the people a chance to participate, but whether it was Manila in the 1980s, Cairo or Tripoli later, the conclusion was basically foregone. And not because of independent popular will, but because of pre-determined popular will.

The government had the ability to cheat, and did so.

But that's only half of the equation.

The other half of the equation was the restoration of the pre-Martial Law political, social and economic elite that Ferdinand Marcos had displaced because he saw how, from the Spanish or American colonial-era onwards, this country had been ruled by the same 400 or so families that control the economy.

And yes I truly mean ruled rather than led.

These families – less of the Filipino-Chinese then than now – were those with massive interests in sugar and tobacco, coconut and rice, manufacturing and transport, and, yes, communications. One of their patriarchs is said to have boasted at his birthday party that he was more powerful than any Philippine president – and perhaps truly so. These were families that merged business with politics either because they had family members in both or because they kept politicians bought. But their influence was such was when they were unhappy with government policy as it imperiled their interests, their media attack dogs would be unleashed, until government backed down.

These were the families that informally installed almost every Philippine leader chosen either from among themselves or from their politician allies – be they the dictatorial, the corrupt, or even the idiotic. To give the installation a semblance of legitimacy, these were done mainly through the ballots dropped into the ballot boxes by countless hands of the mass of the people.

The ruling class had the ability to cheat. And did so. The birds and bees voting was not an invention during the Marcos years.

Oh! And how could I also ever forget the Philippine branch of the Holy Roman Catholic and Apostolic Church – the religious institution that is and has always also been a political and economic organization! Its greatest contribution to the poverty of this country was the institution of friar landholdings in the Spanish era which helped dislodge so many ordinary Filipinos from their meager "estates". Aggregated together, those small plots became some of the haciendas that a few favored Filipinos "inherited" from the Church, or from friars who had a special interest in their families!

We must never ever forget that the Church is also an integral part of the elite equation in the Philippines. Then, they ran the friar lands. Today they run the elite schools to which the elite families send their elite children wile paying elite fees for an elite education that reinforces elite rule!

I am sure that Ferdinand Marcos was not the first Philippine president to feel the yoke of the ruling elite. But he sure was the first to plot against it, and to, at least for a time, get out of it. But the fall of Marcos should tell us that unless a President is able to institute deep-rooted change in the political and economic system, the elite will be able to return once the President's grip loosens. And in the case of Marcos that grip loosened due to a number of events that came together in a confluence no one could have foreseen. It even had a geopolitical aspect: when the Americans pulled out of Vietnam in 1975 and opened up diplomatic relations with China, the value of propping up strongman government in Southeast Asia as an anti-Communist deterrent greatly diminished.

It can be argued that Erap was the second anti-elite President. Not as politically skillful as Marcos was, and equally blessed and cursed with being far more transparent about his human frailties, see how quickly Erap was out. Again: the elite and the Church riding on the wave of "people power".

That is why, since 1992, I have been in search of a President – even if he were to come from the same elite families – who could be a "traitor" to his own class. Not that he should do a Marcos all over again, confiscating businesses and all that, but that he should see to it that the businesses in this country would not be monopolized by the same families he grew up with.

Difficult? Perhaps, but not impossible, especially not now with so many lessons learned from our history and from the history of so many other countries around the globe.

Until then – and chances are 50-50 that I will get to live to see that "then" – the ordinary Filipino should learn to see EDSA – especially EDSA Uno – in its totality. It did take out a cog in the political machinery that has been working on a regular basis since, but that is a machinery that remains influenced if not controlled by the very interests that were seeking restoration.

Twenty five years later, I now look back at EDSA and have to admit that to me it simply symbolizes a painful Filipino saying: "Iba ang nag-saing, iba ang kumain", which in turn symbolizes the reality that the rest of us will always be cooks – sometimes even fodder – for the very few who truly rule.

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PHNO-OPINION: TRIBUNE: DƉJƀ VU - ACHIEVEMENTS? WHAT ACHIEVEMENTS?


 



TRIBUNE: DƉJƀ VU

MANILA, FEBRUARY 28, 2011 (TRIBUNE) Before fund donors, Noynoy boasted of his supposed achievements in the economic and fiscal fields during the eight months that he has been in office.

He cited before the Philippine Development Forum (PDF) the other day the rebidding of overpriced contracts, the adoption of zero-based budgeting and the increase in the budget for the conditional cash transfer (CCT) program as among his achievements.

He conveniently makes no mention of the defense recently inked with his appointed officials, as these were clearly overpriced. Still, let Noynoy stay in dreamland as one day he will definitely wake up to the nightmare of having done nothing all throughout his stay in MalacaƱang and will go down in history as having made the Philippines worse off than any other time.

But there was a reason for him to come up with yet another boast as Noynoy was again reminding many of Gloria who waxes in exuberant pride about non-existent achievements, which path he is following, but in a worse way, as the achievements of the Arroyo regime, he has the gall to pass off as his.

The bottomline shows that nothing has been achieved substantially to boost the economy and government finances.

Just recently the Department of Budget and Management announced a likely P310 billion deficit for last year, which is the highest ever for the country, even beating the erstwhile record of P298 billion shortfall in 2009 that was supposed the crowning glory of the corrupt administration of Gloria.

As in the previous administration, the problem remains in revenue collections which seem to have been faced with the similar problems of the past.

During Gloria's watch, it was considered that tax evaders had a field day and corruption in the collection agencies was so widespread that both the Bureau of Internal Revenue (BIR) and the Bureau of Customs (BoC) never met targets.

Judging on the collection trend under Noynoy, not much seems to have been achieved in terms of reforms. And if he thinks graft and corruption no longer exist in these bureaus, he really should have another think coming — that is, if he has the capacity to think.

For last year, the BIR collected P822.4 billion below an P860.4 billion target while the BoC raised P259 billion, also missing a P280 billion goal.

Strangely, amid the bloated fiscal gap, the Aquino administration stepped up on spending last December with Budget Secretary Florencio Abad saying that Noynoy's economic managers noted there remains a fiscal space for them to spend.

Abad indicated that the deficit should be seen in relation to the expanding economy and that a 3.6 percent deficit compared to the growth in gross domestic product (GDP) makes the budget gap manageable.

The bottomline, however, is the money that needs to be raised to plug the budget gap, which is mostly borrowings from domestic and foreign sources.

Latest figures as of November last year, showed the debt stock had reached P4.719 trillion, an increase of P40 billion from October 2010 debt level of P4.679 trillion or a debt of P50,202 for each of the 94 million Filipinos.

Of the amount, P2.002 trillion was owed to foreign creditors while P2.717 trillion were obligations with domestic lenders.

On the employment front, the number of jobless Filipinos last year was 2.86 million, higher than the 2.83 million unemployed in 2009. The highest unemployment rate was registered at 11.6 percent in the National Capital Region, which included Manila.

The number of underemployed workers, or those who spend less than the regular eight-hour workday, rose to 6.76 million from 6.69 million in 2009.

The jobless rate and the employment condition in the Philippines thus are considered among the worst in Southeast Asia.

With those dismal figures, what achievement is Noynoy talking about?

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Chief News Editor: Sol Jose Vanzi

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PHNO-FVR: FVR: THE MIDDLE EAST, NORTH AFRICA & EDSA 25 (PLUS TAIWAN)- EMPOWERING THE FILIPINO PEOPLE


 



FVR: THE MIDDLE EAST, NORTH AFRICA & EDSA 25 (PLUS TAIWAN)- EMPOWERING THE FILIPINO PEOPLE

MANILA, FEBRUARY 28, 2011 (BULLETIN) By Former Philippine President Fidel V. Ramos – Last Friday (25 February), during the 25th Anniversary observance of our People Power Revolution of February, 1986, along EDSA, the above candid observations were overheard from various participants.

To me, these are valid lessons learned and we should therefore gain some wisdom from today's MENA uprisings, as much as to follow best practices from our 1986 and 2001 experiences at EDSA.

Bloody MENA uprisings

The eyes of the world, the Philippines included, were focused these past few days on TV-radio-social media reports on riotous street demonstrations in Libya, Tunisia, Bahrain, Iran, Yemen, and Egypt, not only because of the danger-filled happenings being shown (as if in a Hollywood thriller) or the masses of angry protesters (all ordinary people) involved.

On the part of the Philippines, with our thousands of overseas Filipino workers whose lives and jobs were at risk in those countries, our direct interest is the well-being, safety, or evacuation/repatriation of our OFWs.

Some cynical but wise mirons (onlookers) have said: "What good timing for the people of Egypt, Libya, and the rest of MENA to undertake their bloody uprisings these past three weeks, as if to re-enact live our own EDSA People Power Revolution (Philippine style) 25 years ago!

If our 1986 EDSA uprisings had been accompanied by violence, it might have been prolonged, become bloody, and even failed!

Libyan turmoil

According to CNN.com (22 February), "Libyan leader Muammar Ghaddaffy made a 40-second broadcast Tuesday morning to prove that he was still in charge, denying reports that he had fled the country.

"Speaking on state television in front of his Tripoli home, Ghaddaffy said he wanted to show people 'that I am still in Tripoli, not in Venezuela. Don't believe those dogs in media.' "

His quickie appearance came after warplanes and helicopter gunships the day before attempted to quell the revolt that captured Benghazi, the country's second city, thereby further enraging the rebel-protesters who eventually gained control of the eastern half of Libya. In key countries in the Arab League and in the UN, Libyan diplomats announced their defection from the regime, as ranking members resigned from the Ghaddaffy Cabinet. At least two fighter pilots who could no longer stomach the order to bomb the crowds around Tripoli's Green Square instead landed their planes in Malta in defiance of their superiors.

All of these erstwhile Ghaddaffy functionaries found "unacceptable" the vicious "genocide" of their own people.

Continued CNN.com: "Helicopters landed troops armed with automatic weapons and grenades in Tripoli's Green Square to scatter protesters. Loyalists have been using aerial tactics, along with men on the ground, to shoot indiscriminately into crowds."

MENA's missing component: A rebel military

In a recent interview with Fe Zamora of the Philippine Daily Inquirer (24 February), FVR asserted: "Any people power uprising will be protracted and bloody, with a highly uncertain ending, unless a faction of the security forces breaks away from the status quo and joins the protesters in the streets.

"Why are their people power uprisings bloody? Why are they protracted? What did we have in 1986 that they don't have? It was noted that these (MENAs) were marked by violence and a rising number of casualties in clashes between protesters and loyalists. What were sorely missing over there from the very outset are 'the rebel military units,' as we had in the Philippines."

Reported CNN's Ben Wedeman (22 February): "In eastern Libya, groups of armed civilians and opposition leaders appeared to be in firm control."

Wedeman was the first Western television correspondent to enter and report from Libya during that crisis. In the aftermath, Wedeman and CNN have been highly applauded by huge masses of Benghazi demonstrators.

There has been an exodus of foreigners from Libya overland through Tunisia and Egypt, as some more were vainly waiting for outbound commercial flights. The refugees included the production managers/staff of major oil companies.

Residents also reported thru social media that hundreds of mercenaries had been killed or captured while fighting for Ghaddaffy, and that much of the Army around Benghazi appears to have joined anti-government forces after the civilians wrested control.

International condemnation and outrage

The US has been struggling to evacuate its own citizens from Libya. Last 22 February, the Libyan government refused permission for a US charter flight intended for fleeing Americans to land in Tripoli. Last Wednesday, a chartered ferry loaded US citizens, including 35 Embassy members, in addition to other foreigners, and was set to move to Malta.

The US condemned the violence and called for a halt to the "unacceptable bloodshed." Last 24 February President Obama used truly strong language to condemn the military attacks on the protesters and called for "a unified international response."

Libya is the latest Arab nation to fall into turmoil since January's ouster of Tunisian strongman President Zine El Abidine Ben Ali. Similar protests toppled Egyptian President Hosni Mubarak last 12 February and have spread across MENA from Morocco to Bahrain.

The United Nations

Channelnewsasia.com (24 February) reported: "UN chief Ban Ki-moon demanded international action against attacks on civilians in Libya which have left hundreds dead. In a pointed warning to Libyan strongman Muammar Ghaddaffy, Ban said: "Those responsible for brutally shedding the blood of innocents must be punished. Libya is now at a dangerous juncture."

The UN Security Council (UNSC) this week also called for a stop to the bloodshed, the first time the UNSC held consultations regarding the revolts that have swept the Arab world since January.

The Arab League held an urgent summit last Tuesday to discuss Libya, according to Egypt's official news agency (21 February). Arab League Secretary-General Amre Moussa strongly called for an end to the violence, saying demands for reform, development, and change were the "legitimate rights" of the Arab people.

Libyan state television, however, cited that during a recent meeting with EU ambassadors, Prime Minister Baghdadi Mahmudi blamed the upheaval on "terrorists and destructive plans" and stressed that Libya has the right to "take any measures" to protect its unity, stability, people, and resources.

Resolving the China-Philippines-Taiwan imbroglio

In this writer's humble opinion, the current imbroglio arising out of the P-Noy Administration's undue haste in the deportation of 14 Taiwanese to Mainland China could have been anticipated and prevented through proactive game-planning – where the worst-case scenario is assumed and appropriate courses of action are provided for in advance.

Indeed, it is deplorable that such a heated situation today should arise between two friendly and close neighbors that have hitherto been enjoying harmonious relations. The hardline positions of "no apology" (of MalacaƱang) and "Ship Home 3,000 Filipino Workers" (of Taipei) has endangered the economic synergy long existing between the Philippines and Taiwan.

The "One-China" policy should not have been invoked by the P-Noy Administration as the basis for that controversial deportation, because the real issue is "due process" in accordance with Philippine laws.

According to media reports, there was an existing court TRO on a petition for the writ of habeas corpus by the Taiwanese. So, why was this court order not implemented? We do not know the identity of the erring Philippine officials, but why not fire them or cause them to resign – for being irresponsible? Is this not better than an official apology?

All sides should remember that in 1949, the Philippines provided sanctuary to some 30,000 Chinese refugees belonging to the Kuomintang, while the majority of them fled to Taiwan. In due time, those who settled in the Philippines (even if they were "overstaying") – amidst our people's hospitality – nurtured their families and small businesses, producing eventually a valuable and progressive addition to the existing Filipino-Chinese community in our country. Some of the "overstaying" later moved to Taiwan and became even more prosperous.

We did the same favor for some 400,000 boat people from the old French Indo-China starting in 1975. A good number of them migrated to the West, also to become more prosperous.

On top of these new MENA, Asian, and Philippine problems, hasn't the price of oil risen 20% to U$120 per barrel?

We are all getting hit!

So, why are some in Taiwan threatening to deport 3,000 Filipino workers? Isn't the Asian culture "to prosper thy neighbor? Where now is Asia's vaunted harmony and peaceful development?

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PHNO-OPINION: TIMES: MIDDLE EAST TURMOIL, PHILIPPINE FALLOUT


 



TIMES: MIDDLE EAST TURMOIL, PHILIPPINE FALLOUT

MANILA, FEBRUARY 28, 2011 (TIMES) RICARDO SALUDO - OUTSIDE the Middle East itself, the country that would arguably be the most affected by the gush of People Power in the region is none other than the Philippines. Congress is right to worry about the expected fallout from continued Mideast unrest, although it is premature to grant emergency powers or take any major action without an expert and thorough assessment of what may be looming for the Middle East, how possible scenarios might affect the Philippines, and what we could do to cope.

Let's do a bit of that future gazing now. In this writer's Strategy and Innovation postgraduate course at Oxford, the scenario planning module stressed that looking ahead at possible developments should always make sure to work out the worst cases, even if they are very unlikely to happen.

Then if the worst-case scenarios happen, the strategic planner has already given those contingencies some serious thought and might even have responses planned, if not prepared. And if there's one thing true about game-changing, history-wrenching events, they were almost always deemed highly improbable, even impossible. Just look at recent upheavals in Tunisia and Egypt, or the eruption on EDSA 25 years ago.

So what's the worst that can happen in the Middle East against the Philippines? Senator Francis Escudero and administration congressmen in the House point to wider unrest and violence driving home many of the 1 million overseas Filipino workers in the region, most of them in Saudi Arabia. The legislators also worried about escalating global oil prices spiked by worries over possible supply disruptions due to the turmoil, as we are seeing in Libya, among other places.

Already, world markets are pricing in Middle East unrest, with the benchmark Brent oil hitting $111 a barrel, even after Saudi Arabia raised crude production to allay fears over Libya. And what if Saudi Arabia itself faced protests against the House of Saud or rivalry among clan members, which had even led to civil war since the family began ruling in the 18th Century? The geopolitical and economic impact on the world would be immense, from leaping petroleum prices and global market and financial turmoil, to increased instability and even military conflict in the Middle East.

The International Monetary Fund expects limited world economic losses as long as oil stays at current levels, keeping to its 4.4 percent global GDP growth forecast this year and 4.5 percent next—for now. But looking five to 10 years ahead, as the six-year Aquino Administration must, in the event of upheaval in Saudi Arabia, then the Philippines would be hit by massive inflation, dislocation of hundreds of thousands of OFWs, and mounting foreign exchange losses due to costlier oil imports, lower remittances, and reduced global investment in a world of economic downturn and political volatility.

There's more. With repression gone or moderated, radical Arab leaders and groups can operate more openly and aggressively. They could very well influence government policies and actions in newly democratic or democratizing states, and even catapult its stalwarts to national office. Witness the 2006 landslide victory of the Hamas extremist movement in the Palestinian Authority, even defeating the decades-old Fatah party, which had ruled since the territory was established in 1996, and had fought against Israeli rule since since Fatah's founding in 1959 by the late Yassir Arafat.

With militant groups pressuring governments and possibly even gaining power, Middle East nations could become even more hostile and aggressive toward not only Israel and the West, but also other countries accused by the radicals of oppressing Muslims. The Philippines might then be threatened with sanctions such as oil export restrictions and OFW hiring limits or bans. Or worse: a resumption of military aid to Mindanao separatists and perhaps even the Abu Sayaff. On the other hand, if authoritarian regimes adopt the Qaddafi instead of the Mubarak response to people power, then brutal repression would almost surely spur violent uprising and open a wider door for extremists to gain clout and even take over if the rulers are deposed. In the resulting cycle of repression, anti-regime violence, and more repression, oil production and shipments would be targeted for bombings, and ordinary people could face terrorist threats. There would be more restrictions on the flow of people, funds and information from abroad, including OFWs and their remittances.

What should the Philippines do? Full-scale scenario planning is recommended in one or both of the following conditions: great uncertainty in the strategic time horizon, or the possibility, even remote, of a hugely adverse turn of events with broad and massive impact on an organization or a country. The current Middle East situation certainly qualifies on both counts.

Hence, President Benigno Aquino 3rd should consider creating a special strategic planning group to draft medium-term policies, programs and contingency plans in response to Middle East scenarios. The body could be set up under the National Security Council with senior officials and experts from key agencies including the foreign affairs, defense, economic planning, energy, finance, and labor departments, plus the Bangko Sentral.

Scenario planning usually plots in a matrix of possible outcomes not just one, but two or three crucial factors affecting the organization or country's future. The factors to be plotted should be largely independent of one another, rather than being the main influence directing each other's direction.

For instance, Middle East political and economic conditions could be matched with global warming trends, policies and initiatives. Both are have huge potential impact on the Philippines, but would not be a leading force shaping each other's futures. Other possible factors that could be matched with Middle East stability are US economic and currency health, China's economic and political rise, and the development and deployment of non-oil power and transport technologies.

How badly could the Philippines suffer from escalating Middle East turmoil? The biggest impact would probably come from more expensive oil, which would push up transport costs throughout the country, with indirect impact on the costs of most goods and services. Rising prices would also force up interest rates worldwide, as monetary authorities here and abroad try to curb inflation, and lenders and investors demand higher returns to offset the declining real value of their funds.

For the Philippines, both rising prices and interest rates would hurt consumers and dampen investment, including the booming property market.

The possible OFW exodus from the Middle East would impose mammoth humanitarian and socio-economic burdens affecting tens of thousands of Filipinos in the region and their millions of dependents back home. The current Libya evacuation is nothing compared with a Saudi airlift.

The demands on government funds and logistics would be unprecedented; so would the financial dislocation of countless OFW families. And with the decline in their spending, businesses and workers serving that big market would also suffer.

In response to the Taiwan threat to delay or stop OFW hiring, President Aquino assured that other countries are keen to hire Filipinos losing jobs on the island. OFWs and recruiters know how much easier it is said than done to transfer from one place abroad to another. That kind of talk would be even more laughable in a wholesale evacuation of Filipinos from the Middle East.

Rather than big talk, the government must do serious and expert planning, and begin the long-term undertaking to reduce dependence on the Middle East for both energy and jobs, while putting in place measures to secure OFWs and, if necessary, bring them home en masse. There is no need to rush into emergency powers, but we should do much more than give empty assurances about employment elsewhere.

After celebrating People Power, let the land of its birthplace now brace for the coming aftershocks of its Arab eruption.

Ricardo Saludo heads the Center for Strategy, Enterprise and Intelligence (ric.saludo@censeisolutions.com), providing expertise in strategy and management, enterprise development, intelligence and Internet.

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PHNO-OPINION: STANDARD: OUTRAGE IN AYALA ALABANG


 



STANDARD: OUTRAGE IN AYALA ALABANG

MANILA, FEBRUARY 28, 2011 (STANDARD) The Ayala Alabang Village is among the poshest places in the country. Entering this gated and highly secured village is not easy. You need a private vehicle or cab or risk walking far to your destination. You need clearance by the homeowner before fully armed security guards allow you in. Roads there pretty much approximate the size of EDSA, perhaps to accommodate the numerous cars owned by each of the about 4,000 families living in huge and imposing houses. AAV is home to many of our powerful and rich politicians and personalities like Former President Fidel Ramos, Senator Pia Cayetano, Representative Rodolfo Biazon, former Health Secretary Esperanza Cabral, and international artist Lea Salonga. These are people you don't want to mess with.

Village residents should feel content and secure. Yet, serious trouble is brewing because of the barangay council's approval of Ordinance 01, Series of 2011 entitled, "An Ordinance Providing for the Safety and Protection of the Unborn Child…; Fixing Penalties for its Violations, and for Other Purposes."

Residents led by staunch reproductive health advocate Cabral are preparing to mount a multi-faceted campaign against this ordinance. They want the council accountable and the ordinance repealed.

First, let us understand the ordinance in question.

The following are among its declared policies: upholds the duty of the State "to equally protect the life of the mother and the life of the unborn child from conception;" endorses view that hormonal contraceptives such as pills, and the IUD may kill children and injure the health of women using them; condemns the irresponsible and indiscriminate use of contraceptives as they undermine the solidarity of families by promoting premarital sex, giving rise to more fatherless children, more single mothers, more poverty and more abortions when contraceptives fail, and causing a decline of legitimate marriages; and denounces the use of condoms as they promote and sanction immoral sexual relations among the unmarried and the young…

Among its objectives are to: acknowledge the unborn child as a human being with human personality, extend legal protection from the moment of his/her conception or fertilization; mandate that delivery of health services to the mother during pregnancy shall be done without prejudice to the unborn child; and promote and provide Natural Family Planning (NFP) services to married couples and those engaged to be married…

The ordinance defines 'abortifacient' as any device, medicine, substance or practice which may damage, injure, interfere with the natural development, endanger or cause the expulsion or death of an unborn child. This includes IUDs and hormonal contraceptives.

This ordinance declares illegal: the prescription of abortifacients by health care providers within the Barangay; advertising, selling, offering for free, endorsing, promoting, prescribing or distributing abortifacients within the Barangay; subjecting an unborn child or his/her mother to acts that may endanger or expose the unborn child or mother to injury or death; and soliciting, accepting, dispensing contraceptives by Barangay employees or agencies.

Ordinance 01 regulates dispensing of "anti-conceptional" substances and devices by 1) requiring medical prescription from buyers; and 2) ordering pharmacists to register in a "book for abortives and anti-conceptionals" data about the prescribing physician and the purchaser.

Finally, this ordinance metes out penalties to violators in the forms of: fines of at least P1,000.00 to more than P5,000.00; imprisonment of at least a month to one year;

civil liability; dismissal from office and getting barred from holding any public office if violator is a barangay employee; and revocation of business permits in addition to the first three if violator is a business enterprise or educational institution.

I take serious issue with this ordinance on several grounds.

First, the Council misquoted the Constitution and went well beyond its boundaries as mandated by the Local Government Code.

Article II, Section 12 of the Philippine Constitution reads, "The State … shall equally protect the life of the mother and the life of the unborn from conception…" Note that the ordinance inserted the word "child" after the "unborn" when it quoted this exact provision. This may be due to carelessness but I entertain the idea that it is intentional because the ordinance says that the unborn is a child, a human being with personality. The misquotation gives the impression that the Constitution actually says that the unborn IS a child when it does not.

The Constitution likewise guarantees people's right to privacy [Art. III, Sec. 3. (1)] Thus, requiring those purchasing contraceptives to surrender personal information may be a violation of this right.

I asked lawyer Kiko Acero if people can go to jail for violation of barangay ordinances. I was told that the autonomy of LGUs is derived, meaning they have no power that is not delegated to them under the LGC. Chapter 4, Sec. 391 (a) (14) of the LGC mandates barangay councils to: "Prescribe fines in amounts not exceeding One Thousand Pesos (P1,000.00) for violation of Barangay ordinances." Nothing more follows on this matter. Compare this with Art. III, Sec. 458(a)(iii) which clearly empowers City Councils to imprison violators of City ordinances.

Recall that the ordinance in question metes out several forms of penalties: fines exceeding allowed limits, imprisonment, removal from office and revocation of business permits.

There is reason to believe then that the barangay council overstepped its authority.

Second, the ordinance coerces residents into adhering to faulty assumptions.

By declaring that contraceptives are abortifacient, prohibiting distribution, regulating sale through prescription, and penalizing violators, the Council forces residents into submission even if they do not similarly believe.

The World Health Organization has repeatedly and officially said that contraceptives, including hormonal and IUDs are NOT abortifacient. In fact, the WHO includes contraceptives in its List of Essential Medicines which attests to their safety and efficacy. The WHO is the world's most respected and authoritative expert on this matter. Governments listen to what it says. Is the AAV Barangay Council better? More on this next week. eangsioco@yahoo.com

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